At the end of the day, I think the situation is relatively straightforward. There are 4 possible new gTLD scenarios or actually just three because one of them has two ramifications:
The Win-Win Scenario
In other words, dot com enthusiasts as well as new gTLD enthusiasts will be right. Dot coms will continue to go up in value but at the same time, there will be ample investment opportunities in the new gTLD space. The Internet will grow in an impressive manner, taking the domaining industry with it to new heights.
The Lose-Lose Scenario
In other words, nobody was right. The new gTLDs will prove disruptive but in a way that’s negative for all domainers. Dot coms will go down in value due to the fact that there are so many new choices and when it comes to new gTLDs, there will be too much dilution for worthwhile investment opportunities to exist.
The Win-Lose Scenario – Version 1
Dot com enthusiasts will be proven right. There will be few investment opportunities in the new gTLD space because people will flock to the “safe haven” option which is represented by dot com domains.
The Win-Lose Scenario – Version 2
New gTLD enthusiasts will be proven right. Dot coms will either stagnate or go down in value, whereas new gTLDs will represent an investment option with a considerably better risk vs. reward ratio for domainers.
That’s pretty much it.
Of course, each scenario can have lots and lots of ramifications but for the most part, I’d say these cover pretty much everything.
Which one did you choose?
April 8th, 2014 at 5:21 pm
The reality is any of the four scenarios is possible and it will take at least several years to see how things develop.
April 8th, 2014 at 9:52 pm
Clearly, gtlds to drop in value (on way down to zero) with .com to skyrocket.
No brainier.
April 9th, 2014 at 2:07 am
The new TLDs will keep being registered over the next 5 years (or more) and Dot Com rates will keep soaring higher and higher. Everyone involved in the game is a winner here as long as all concerned are smart enough to make the most of the given opportunities and calculated risks that they take. The importance of careful planning and rapid implementation cannot be ignored (but so often has). More insightful articles like these are required. Avoid getting personal and negative all the time and everyone will walk away (or stay) a complete winner.
April 9th, 2014 at 1:28 pm
The g in gtld stands for garbage. Total crap. Trash. Sludge. Waste of money.
That is all I have to say. Register what you’d like but don’t try to sell your garbage to me when you finally realize how stupid they are and that no one wants them. Thank you.